Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.160205 0.180325 0.201397 0.225060 0.250836 0.278009 0.308765
2025-02-16 0.133791 0.161090 0.191140 0.226487 0.266734 0.310941 0.362971
2025-02-23 0.118017 0.150554 0.187909 0.233563 0.287434 0.348557 0.422705
2025-03-02 0.100847 0.135954 0.177889 0.230986 0.295695 0.371258 0.465378
2025-03-09 0.088246 0.125202 0.170974 0.230794 0.305798 0.395594 0.509992
2025-03-16 0.077378 0.115294 0.163898 0.229320 0.313510 0.416596 0.550592
2025-03-23 0.070796 0.110202 0.162271 0.234175 0.328790 0.446866 0.602946
2025-03-30 0.063447 0.103235 0.157432 0.234189 0.337406 0.468595 0.644812
2025-04-06 0.057006 0.096849 0.152740 0.233824 0.345102 0.488964 0.685074
2025-04-13 0.051404 0.091101 0.148390 0.233431 0.352402 0.508669 0.724615
2025-04-20 0.047149 0.086944 0.145916 0.235319 0.362591 0.532164 0.769371
2025-04-27 0.044527 0.085064 0.146555 0.241504 0.378721 0.563792 0.825371
2025-05-04 0.040546 0.080783 0.143523 0.242493 0.388021 0.587061 0.871708
2025-05-11 0.037536 0.077815 0.142255 0.245934 0.400817 0.615349 0.925411
2025-05-18 0.035940 0.077104 0.144425 0.254563 0.421294 0.654677 0.994952
2025-05-25 0.032273 0.072355 0.139769 0.252398 0.425743 0.671564 1.033849
2025-06-01 0.029423 0.068781 0.136742 0.252516 0.433427 0.693035 1.079380
2025-06-08 0.026592 0.064925 0.132935 0.251111 0.438619 0.710902 1.120049
2025-06-15 0.025139 0.063592 0.133323 0.256420 0.454112 0.743869 1.182577
2025-06-22 0.022995 0.060634 0.130642 0.256489 0.461399 0.764913 1.228376
2025-06-29 0.020988 0.057726 0.127825 0.256126 0.467885 0.784792 1.272733
2025-07-06 0.019161 0.054985 0.125097 0.255721 0.474185 0.804409 1.316934
2025-07-13 0.017802 0.053118 0.123852 0.257756 0.484368 0.829957 1.370128